Help calculating second order distribution for a continuous stochastic process












0














I'm really stuck on this problem, and appreciate any help.



Problem: Let $gamma$ be a random number, chosen with uniform probability in the interval $[0,2pi]$. We define the stochastic process $X(t)=cos(t+gamma)$. Calculate the first and second order distribution.



My attempt at an answer:
I want to calculate the first and second order distributions, which are given, respectively, by:



$P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})$

and



$P(X(t_{1})<x_{1},X(t_{2})<x_{2})$



1st order distribution calculation
I can calculate the first order distribution easily (at least I think this is correct):



$P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})=P(cos(t_{1}+gamma)<x_{1})=P(t_{1}+gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1}))=P(gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1})$



Since $gamma$ is uniformly distributed I know that :



$P(gamma<y)=frac{y}{2pi}$



Thus:
$P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})=P(gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1})=frac{cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1}}{2pi}$



(that is if $-1>x_{1}>1$ )



2nd order distribution calculation
I am having problems calculating the second order distribution, this is what I have done up till now:



$P(X(t_{1})<x_{1},X(t_{2}<x_2{}))=P(X(t_{2})<x_{2}|X(t_{1})<x_{1})P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})$



The second factor is the first order distribution, which I have already calculated. But how do I get $P(X(t_{2})<x_{2}|X(t_{1})<x_{1})$? Clearly if $X(t_{1})$ is already defined (which imples $gamma$ is fixed) $X(t_{2})$ is already defined, but don't see how to reach this answer.
Thank you for reading!










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    0














    I'm really stuck on this problem, and appreciate any help.



    Problem: Let $gamma$ be a random number, chosen with uniform probability in the interval $[0,2pi]$. We define the stochastic process $X(t)=cos(t+gamma)$. Calculate the first and second order distribution.



    My attempt at an answer:
    I want to calculate the first and second order distributions, which are given, respectively, by:



    $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})$

    and



    $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1},X(t_{2})<x_{2})$



    1st order distribution calculation
    I can calculate the first order distribution easily (at least I think this is correct):



    $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})=P(cos(t_{1}+gamma)<x_{1})=P(t_{1}+gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1}))=P(gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1})$



    Since $gamma$ is uniformly distributed I know that :



    $P(gamma<y)=frac{y}{2pi}$



    Thus:
    $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})=P(gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1})=frac{cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1}}{2pi}$



    (that is if $-1>x_{1}>1$ )



    2nd order distribution calculation
    I am having problems calculating the second order distribution, this is what I have done up till now:



    $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1},X(t_{2}<x_2{}))=P(X(t_{2})<x_{2}|X(t_{1})<x_{1})P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})$



    The second factor is the first order distribution, which I have already calculated. But how do I get $P(X(t_{2})<x_{2}|X(t_{1})<x_{1})$? Clearly if $X(t_{1})$ is already defined (which imples $gamma$ is fixed) $X(t_{2})$ is already defined, but don't see how to reach this answer.
    Thank you for reading!










    share|cite|improve this question

























      0












      0








      0







      I'm really stuck on this problem, and appreciate any help.



      Problem: Let $gamma$ be a random number, chosen with uniform probability in the interval $[0,2pi]$. We define the stochastic process $X(t)=cos(t+gamma)$. Calculate the first and second order distribution.



      My attempt at an answer:
      I want to calculate the first and second order distributions, which are given, respectively, by:



      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})$

      and



      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1},X(t_{2})<x_{2})$



      1st order distribution calculation
      I can calculate the first order distribution easily (at least I think this is correct):



      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})=P(cos(t_{1}+gamma)<x_{1})=P(t_{1}+gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1}))=P(gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1})$



      Since $gamma$ is uniformly distributed I know that :



      $P(gamma<y)=frac{y}{2pi}$



      Thus:
      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})=P(gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1})=frac{cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1}}{2pi}$



      (that is if $-1>x_{1}>1$ )



      2nd order distribution calculation
      I am having problems calculating the second order distribution, this is what I have done up till now:



      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1},X(t_{2}<x_2{}))=P(X(t_{2})<x_{2}|X(t_{1})<x_{1})P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})$



      The second factor is the first order distribution, which I have already calculated. But how do I get $P(X(t_{2})<x_{2}|X(t_{1})<x_{1})$? Clearly if $X(t_{1})$ is already defined (which imples $gamma$ is fixed) $X(t_{2})$ is already defined, but don't see how to reach this answer.
      Thank you for reading!










      share|cite|improve this question













      I'm really stuck on this problem, and appreciate any help.



      Problem: Let $gamma$ be a random number, chosen with uniform probability in the interval $[0,2pi]$. We define the stochastic process $X(t)=cos(t+gamma)$. Calculate the first and second order distribution.



      My attempt at an answer:
      I want to calculate the first and second order distributions, which are given, respectively, by:



      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})$

      and



      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1},X(t_{2})<x_{2})$



      1st order distribution calculation
      I can calculate the first order distribution easily (at least I think this is correct):



      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})=P(cos(t_{1}+gamma)<x_{1})=P(t_{1}+gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1}))=P(gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1})$



      Since $gamma$ is uniformly distributed I know that :



      $P(gamma<y)=frac{y}{2pi}$



      Thus:
      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})=P(gamma<cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1})=frac{cos^{-1}(x_{1})-t_{1}}{2pi}$



      (that is if $-1>x_{1}>1$ )



      2nd order distribution calculation
      I am having problems calculating the second order distribution, this is what I have done up till now:



      $P(X(t_{1})<x_{1},X(t_{2}<x_2{}))=P(X(t_{2})<x_{2}|X(t_{1})<x_{1})P(X(t_{1})<x_{1})$



      The second factor is the first order distribution, which I have already calculated. But how do I get $P(X(t_{2})<x_{2}|X(t_{1})<x_{1})$? Clearly if $X(t_{1})$ is already defined (which imples $gamma$ is fixed) $X(t_{2})$ is already defined, but don't see how to reach this answer.
      Thank you for reading!







      statistics random






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      share|cite|improve this question











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      asked Nov 25 '18 at 23:16









      Aye Prado

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