Expectation in a stochastic differential equation












2












$begingroup$


I'm new to stochastic calculus, I want to find the mean of $X_2$ with $X_t = exp(W_t)$, with $W_t$ a Wiener process.



I used Ito's Lemma is arrive at the SDE:
begin{align}
d(X_t) = frac{1}{2}X_t dt + X_t dW_t
end{align}

But how can I get the mean of $X_2$?










share|improve this question











$endgroup$

















    2












    $begingroup$


    I'm new to stochastic calculus, I want to find the mean of $X_2$ with $X_t = exp(W_t)$, with $W_t$ a Wiener process.



    I used Ito's Lemma is arrive at the SDE:
    begin{align}
    d(X_t) = frac{1}{2}X_t dt + X_t dW_t
    end{align}

    But how can I get the mean of $X_2$?










    share|improve this question











    $endgroup$















      2












      2








      2


      1



      $begingroup$


      I'm new to stochastic calculus, I want to find the mean of $X_2$ with $X_t = exp(W_t)$, with $W_t$ a Wiener process.



      I used Ito's Lemma is arrive at the SDE:
      begin{align}
      d(X_t) = frac{1}{2}X_t dt + X_t dW_t
      end{align}

      But how can I get the mean of $X_2$?










      share|improve this question











      $endgroup$




      I'm new to stochastic calculus, I want to find the mean of $X_2$ with $X_t = exp(W_t)$, with $W_t$ a Wiener process.



      I used Ito's Lemma is arrive at the SDE:
      begin{align}
      d(X_t) = frac{1}{2}X_t dt + X_t dW_t
      end{align}

      But how can I get the mean of $X_2$?







      itos-lemma sde






      share|improve this question















      share|improve this question













      share|improve this question




      share|improve this question








      edited Mar 31 at 20:09







      Victor

















      asked Mar 31 at 19:12









      VictorVictor

      916




      916






















          1 Answer
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          3












          $begingroup$

          Assuming you are talking about unconditional expectation, in general you have



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t] = mathbb{E}[e^{W_t}] = e^{mathbb{E}[W_t] + frac{1}{2}text{Var}(W_t) }
          $$



          which yields



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t]= e^{frac{1}{2} t}
          $$



          Hence,



          $$ mathbb{E}[X_2]= e $$






          share|improve this answer








          New contributor




          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.






          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            I'm quite new to the theory. What is the name of the first equality and under which hypotheses is it true?
            $endgroup$
            – Victor
            Mar 31 at 20:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @Victor the first equality comes from the moment-generating function of a normal. Take a look here for more details. In general, $mathbb{E}[e^X] = e^{mu + frac{1}{2} sigma^2}$ holds whenever $X sim mathcal{N}(mu, sigma^2)$
            $endgroup$
            – RafaelC
            Mar 31 at 20:06












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          $begingroup$

          Assuming you are talking about unconditional expectation, in general you have



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t] = mathbb{E}[e^{W_t}] = e^{mathbb{E}[W_t] + frac{1}{2}text{Var}(W_t) }
          $$



          which yields



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t]= e^{frac{1}{2} t}
          $$



          Hence,



          $$ mathbb{E}[X_2]= e $$






          share|improve this answer








          New contributor




          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.






          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            I'm quite new to the theory. What is the name of the first equality and under which hypotheses is it true?
            $endgroup$
            – Victor
            Mar 31 at 20:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @Victor the first equality comes from the moment-generating function of a normal. Take a look here for more details. In general, $mathbb{E}[e^X] = e^{mu + frac{1}{2} sigma^2}$ holds whenever $X sim mathcal{N}(mu, sigma^2)$
            $endgroup$
            – RafaelC
            Mar 31 at 20:06
















          3












          $begingroup$

          Assuming you are talking about unconditional expectation, in general you have



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t] = mathbb{E}[e^{W_t}] = e^{mathbb{E}[W_t] + frac{1}{2}text{Var}(W_t) }
          $$



          which yields



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t]= e^{frac{1}{2} t}
          $$



          Hence,



          $$ mathbb{E}[X_2]= e $$






          share|improve this answer








          New contributor




          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.






          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            I'm quite new to the theory. What is the name of the first equality and under which hypotheses is it true?
            $endgroup$
            – Victor
            Mar 31 at 20:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @Victor the first equality comes from the moment-generating function of a normal. Take a look here for more details. In general, $mathbb{E}[e^X] = e^{mu + frac{1}{2} sigma^2}$ holds whenever $X sim mathcal{N}(mu, sigma^2)$
            $endgroup$
            – RafaelC
            Mar 31 at 20:06














          3












          3








          3





          $begingroup$

          Assuming you are talking about unconditional expectation, in general you have



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t] = mathbb{E}[e^{W_t}] = e^{mathbb{E}[W_t] + frac{1}{2}text{Var}(W_t) }
          $$



          which yields



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t]= e^{frac{1}{2} t}
          $$



          Hence,



          $$ mathbb{E}[X_2]= e $$






          share|improve this answer








          New contributor




          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.






          $endgroup$



          Assuming you are talking about unconditional expectation, in general you have



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t] = mathbb{E}[e^{W_t}] = e^{mathbb{E}[W_t] + frac{1}{2}text{Var}(W_t) }
          $$



          which yields



          $$
          mathbb{E}[X_t]= e^{frac{1}{2} t}
          $$



          Hence,



          $$ mathbb{E}[X_2]= e $$







          share|improve this answer








          New contributor




          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.









          share|improve this answer



          share|improve this answer






          New contributor




          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.









          answered Mar 31 at 19:52









          RafaelCRafaelC

          1463




          1463




          New contributor




          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.





          New contributor





          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.






          RafaelC is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
          Check out our Code of Conduct.












          • $begingroup$
            I'm quite new to the theory. What is the name of the first equality and under which hypotheses is it true?
            $endgroup$
            – Victor
            Mar 31 at 20:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @Victor the first equality comes from the moment-generating function of a normal. Take a look here for more details. In general, $mathbb{E}[e^X] = e^{mu + frac{1}{2} sigma^2}$ holds whenever $X sim mathcal{N}(mu, sigma^2)$
            $endgroup$
            – RafaelC
            Mar 31 at 20:06


















          • $begingroup$
            I'm quite new to the theory. What is the name of the first equality and under which hypotheses is it true?
            $endgroup$
            – Victor
            Mar 31 at 20:00






          • 1




            $begingroup$
            @Victor the first equality comes from the moment-generating function of a normal. Take a look here for more details. In general, $mathbb{E}[e^X] = e^{mu + frac{1}{2} sigma^2}$ holds whenever $X sim mathcal{N}(mu, sigma^2)$
            $endgroup$
            – RafaelC
            Mar 31 at 20:06
















          $begingroup$
          I'm quite new to the theory. What is the name of the first equality and under which hypotheses is it true?
          $endgroup$
          – Victor
          Mar 31 at 20:00




          $begingroup$
          I'm quite new to the theory. What is the name of the first equality and under which hypotheses is it true?
          $endgroup$
          – Victor
          Mar 31 at 20:00




          1




          1




          $begingroup$
          @Victor the first equality comes from the moment-generating function of a normal. Take a look here for more details. In general, $mathbb{E}[e^X] = e^{mu + frac{1}{2} sigma^2}$ holds whenever $X sim mathcal{N}(mu, sigma^2)$
          $endgroup$
          – RafaelC
          Mar 31 at 20:06




          $begingroup$
          @Victor the first equality comes from the moment-generating function of a normal. Take a look here for more details. In general, $mathbb{E}[e^X] = e^{mu + frac{1}{2} sigma^2}$ holds whenever $X sim mathcal{N}(mu, sigma^2)$
          $endgroup$
          – RafaelC
          Mar 31 at 20:06


















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