Probability of exactly one student failing?











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I have the following problem:




If the probability that student A will fail a certain statis- tics
examination is 0.5, the probability that student B will fail the
examination is 0.2, and the probability that both student A and
student B will fail the examination is 0.1, what is the probability
and that exactly one of the two students will fail the examina- tion?




I came up with the following solution:
$$P(A) = 0.5; P(B) = 0.2$$
'exactly one' means either A only fails or B only fails.



Event $X_1$: 'A only fails'$$ P(X_1) = P(A) *P(B)^c = 0.5*0.8 = 0.4 $$
Event $X_2$: 'B only fails' $$P(X_2) = P(A)^c * P(B) = 0.5*0.2 = 0.1 $$
And therefore:
$$P(X_1lor X_2) = P(X_1)+P(X_2)-P(X_1land X_2) = 0.4+0.1-0 = 0.5 $$
My thoughts behind $P(X_1 land X_2) = 0$ were that it is not possible that both only happens at the same time. I'm not fully sure whether that is correct. Should these logical thought be correct is the value of $0.5$ correct?










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  • Welcome to math.SE! Asking for correctness here is OK (and it is encouraged to provide your own ideas for every question, what did you try and what didn't work), but it would also be good in the future to write your solution using MathJax, instead of uploading pictures.
    – Nutle
    Nov 21 at 15:54












  • It'd be better to write your solution in the body of the question rather than linking to an image. (Also, the image should be rotated to make it easier to read.)
    – littleO
    Nov 21 at 15:54










  • I see. Thank you both, I edited my question now.
    – thebilly
    Nov 21 at 16:10















up vote
2
down vote

favorite












I have the following problem:




If the probability that student A will fail a certain statis- tics
examination is 0.5, the probability that student B will fail the
examination is 0.2, and the probability that both student A and
student B will fail the examination is 0.1, what is the probability
and that exactly one of the two students will fail the examina- tion?




I came up with the following solution:
$$P(A) = 0.5; P(B) = 0.2$$
'exactly one' means either A only fails or B only fails.



Event $X_1$: 'A only fails'$$ P(X_1) = P(A) *P(B)^c = 0.5*0.8 = 0.4 $$
Event $X_2$: 'B only fails' $$P(X_2) = P(A)^c * P(B) = 0.5*0.2 = 0.1 $$
And therefore:
$$P(X_1lor X_2) = P(X_1)+P(X_2)-P(X_1land X_2) = 0.4+0.1-0 = 0.5 $$
My thoughts behind $P(X_1 land X_2) = 0$ were that it is not possible that both only happens at the same time. I'm not fully sure whether that is correct. Should these logical thought be correct is the value of $0.5$ correct?










share|cite|improve this question
























  • Welcome to math.SE! Asking for correctness here is OK (and it is encouraged to provide your own ideas for every question, what did you try and what didn't work), but it would also be good in the future to write your solution using MathJax, instead of uploading pictures.
    – Nutle
    Nov 21 at 15:54












  • It'd be better to write your solution in the body of the question rather than linking to an image. (Also, the image should be rotated to make it easier to read.)
    – littleO
    Nov 21 at 15:54










  • I see. Thank you both, I edited my question now.
    – thebilly
    Nov 21 at 16:10













up vote
2
down vote

favorite









up vote
2
down vote

favorite











I have the following problem:




If the probability that student A will fail a certain statis- tics
examination is 0.5, the probability that student B will fail the
examination is 0.2, and the probability that both student A and
student B will fail the examination is 0.1, what is the probability
and that exactly one of the two students will fail the examina- tion?




I came up with the following solution:
$$P(A) = 0.5; P(B) = 0.2$$
'exactly one' means either A only fails or B only fails.



Event $X_1$: 'A only fails'$$ P(X_1) = P(A) *P(B)^c = 0.5*0.8 = 0.4 $$
Event $X_2$: 'B only fails' $$P(X_2) = P(A)^c * P(B) = 0.5*0.2 = 0.1 $$
And therefore:
$$P(X_1lor X_2) = P(X_1)+P(X_2)-P(X_1land X_2) = 0.4+0.1-0 = 0.5 $$
My thoughts behind $P(X_1 land X_2) = 0$ were that it is not possible that both only happens at the same time. I'm not fully sure whether that is correct. Should these logical thought be correct is the value of $0.5$ correct?










share|cite|improve this question















I have the following problem:




If the probability that student A will fail a certain statis- tics
examination is 0.5, the probability that student B will fail the
examination is 0.2, and the probability that both student A and
student B will fail the examination is 0.1, what is the probability
and that exactly one of the two students will fail the examina- tion?




I came up with the following solution:
$$P(A) = 0.5; P(B) = 0.2$$
'exactly one' means either A only fails or B only fails.



Event $X_1$: 'A only fails'$$ P(X_1) = P(A) *P(B)^c = 0.5*0.8 = 0.4 $$
Event $X_2$: 'B only fails' $$P(X_2) = P(A)^c * P(B) = 0.5*0.2 = 0.1 $$
And therefore:
$$P(X_1lor X_2) = P(X_1)+P(X_2)-P(X_1land X_2) = 0.4+0.1-0 = 0.5 $$
My thoughts behind $P(X_1 land X_2) = 0$ were that it is not possible that both only happens at the same time. I'm not fully sure whether that is correct. Should these logical thought be correct is the value of $0.5$ correct?







probability






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edited Nov 21 at 16:10

























asked Nov 21 at 15:50









thebilly

565




565












  • Welcome to math.SE! Asking for correctness here is OK (and it is encouraged to provide your own ideas for every question, what did you try and what didn't work), but it would also be good in the future to write your solution using MathJax, instead of uploading pictures.
    – Nutle
    Nov 21 at 15:54












  • It'd be better to write your solution in the body of the question rather than linking to an image. (Also, the image should be rotated to make it easier to read.)
    – littleO
    Nov 21 at 15:54










  • I see. Thank you both, I edited my question now.
    – thebilly
    Nov 21 at 16:10


















  • Welcome to math.SE! Asking for correctness here is OK (and it is encouraged to provide your own ideas for every question, what did you try and what didn't work), but it would also be good in the future to write your solution using MathJax, instead of uploading pictures.
    – Nutle
    Nov 21 at 15:54












  • It'd be better to write your solution in the body of the question rather than linking to an image. (Also, the image should be rotated to make it easier to read.)
    – littleO
    Nov 21 at 15:54










  • I see. Thank you both, I edited my question now.
    – thebilly
    Nov 21 at 16:10
















Welcome to math.SE! Asking for correctness here is OK (and it is encouraged to provide your own ideas for every question, what did you try and what didn't work), but it would also be good in the future to write your solution using MathJax, instead of uploading pictures.
– Nutle
Nov 21 at 15:54






Welcome to math.SE! Asking for correctness here is OK (and it is encouraged to provide your own ideas for every question, what did you try and what didn't work), but it would also be good in the future to write your solution using MathJax, instead of uploading pictures.
– Nutle
Nov 21 at 15:54














It'd be better to write your solution in the body of the question rather than linking to an image. (Also, the image should be rotated to make it easier to read.)
– littleO
Nov 21 at 15:54




It'd be better to write your solution in the body of the question rather than linking to an image. (Also, the image should be rotated to make it easier to read.)
– littleO
Nov 21 at 15:54












I see. Thank you both, I edited my question now.
– thebilly
Nov 21 at 16:10




I see. Thank you both, I edited my question now.
– thebilly
Nov 21 at 16:10










2 Answers
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You need to find $P(A, neg B) + P(neg A, B)$. We know $P(A)$, $P(B)$ and $P(A, B)$.



We also know that $P(A,B)+P(A,neg B)=P(A)$. You can get the value $P(A, neg B)$ from here. Likewise, we also know that $P(A, B)+P(neg A, B)=P(B)$ and thus you can also get the value $P(neg A, B)$.






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    Your $P(X_1)=0.4$ and $P(X_2)=0.1$ are right. But then it is asked for $P(X_2cap overline X_1)+P(X_1cap overline X_2)$



    This is $[P(X_1)-P(X_1cap X_2)]+[P(X_2)-P(X_1cap X_2)]=P(X_1)+P(X_2)-2cdot P(X_1cap X_2)$



    $=0.2+0.5-2cdot 0.1=0.5$






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      2 Answers
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      2 Answers
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      You need to find $P(A, neg B) + P(neg A, B)$. We know $P(A)$, $P(B)$ and $P(A, B)$.



      We also know that $P(A,B)+P(A,neg B)=P(A)$. You can get the value $P(A, neg B)$ from here. Likewise, we also know that $P(A, B)+P(neg A, B)=P(B)$ and thus you can also get the value $P(neg A, B)$.






      share|cite|improve this answer

























        up vote
        2
        down vote













        You need to find $P(A, neg B) + P(neg A, B)$. We know $P(A)$, $P(B)$ and $P(A, B)$.



        We also know that $P(A,B)+P(A,neg B)=P(A)$. You can get the value $P(A, neg B)$ from here. Likewise, we also know that $P(A, B)+P(neg A, B)=P(B)$ and thus you can also get the value $P(neg A, B)$.






        share|cite|improve this answer























          up vote
          2
          down vote










          up vote
          2
          down vote









          You need to find $P(A, neg B) + P(neg A, B)$. We know $P(A)$, $P(B)$ and $P(A, B)$.



          We also know that $P(A,B)+P(A,neg B)=P(A)$. You can get the value $P(A, neg B)$ from here. Likewise, we also know that $P(A, B)+P(neg A, B)=P(B)$ and thus you can also get the value $P(neg A, B)$.






          share|cite|improve this answer












          You need to find $P(A, neg B) + P(neg A, B)$. We know $P(A)$, $P(B)$ and $P(A, B)$.



          We also know that $P(A,B)+P(A,neg B)=P(A)$. You can get the value $P(A, neg B)$ from here. Likewise, we also know that $P(A, B)+P(neg A, B)=P(B)$ and thus you can also get the value $P(neg A, B)$.







          share|cite|improve this answer












          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer










          answered Nov 21 at 16:15









          DavidPM

          16618




          16618






















              up vote
              1
              down vote













              Your $P(X_1)=0.4$ and $P(X_2)=0.1$ are right. But then it is asked for $P(X_2cap overline X_1)+P(X_1cap overline X_2)$



              This is $[P(X_1)-P(X_1cap X_2)]+[P(X_2)-P(X_1cap X_2)]=P(X_1)+P(X_2)-2cdot P(X_1cap X_2)$



              $=0.2+0.5-2cdot 0.1=0.5$






              share|cite|improve this answer

























                up vote
                1
                down vote













                Your $P(X_1)=0.4$ and $P(X_2)=0.1$ are right. But then it is asked for $P(X_2cap overline X_1)+P(X_1cap overline X_2)$



                This is $[P(X_1)-P(X_1cap X_2)]+[P(X_2)-P(X_1cap X_2)]=P(X_1)+P(X_2)-2cdot P(X_1cap X_2)$



                $=0.2+0.5-2cdot 0.1=0.5$






                share|cite|improve this answer























                  up vote
                  1
                  down vote










                  up vote
                  1
                  down vote









                  Your $P(X_1)=0.4$ and $P(X_2)=0.1$ are right. But then it is asked for $P(X_2cap overline X_1)+P(X_1cap overline X_2)$



                  This is $[P(X_1)-P(X_1cap X_2)]+[P(X_2)-P(X_1cap X_2)]=P(X_1)+P(X_2)-2cdot P(X_1cap X_2)$



                  $=0.2+0.5-2cdot 0.1=0.5$






                  share|cite|improve this answer












                  Your $P(X_1)=0.4$ and $P(X_2)=0.1$ are right. But then it is asked for $P(X_2cap overline X_1)+P(X_1cap overline X_2)$



                  This is $[P(X_1)-P(X_1cap X_2)]+[P(X_2)-P(X_1cap X_2)]=P(X_1)+P(X_2)-2cdot P(X_1cap X_2)$



                  $=0.2+0.5-2cdot 0.1=0.5$







                  share|cite|improve this answer












                  share|cite|improve this answer



                  share|cite|improve this answer










                  answered Nov 21 at 16:16









                  callculus

                  17.8k31427




                  17.8k31427






























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