Weights of simple moving average are not adding up to one
This is the definition of linear filter from a book I am reading:
A second procedure for dealing with a trend is to use a linear filter, which converts one time series, ${x_t}$, into another, ${y_t}$, by the linear operation
$$y_t = sum_{r = -q}^{+s} a_r x_{t+r}$$
where ${a_r}$ is a set of weights. In order to smooth out local fluctuations and estimate the local mean, we should clearly choose the weights so that $sum a_r = 1$, and then the operation is often referred to as a moving average. Moving averages are discussed in detail by Kendall et al. (1983, Chapter 46), and we will only provide a brief introduction. Moving averages are often symmetric with $s = q$ and $a_j = a_{-j}$. The simplest example of a symmetric smoothing filter is the simple moving average, for which $a_r = 1/(2q + 1)$ for $r = -q, ldots, +q$, and the smoothed value of $x_t$ is given by
$$textrm{Sm}(x_t) = frac{1}{2q + 1}sum_{r=-q}^{+q} x_{t+r}$$
It is said there that ${a_r}$ is a set of weights and in order to call the operation a moving average we should clearly choose the weights so sum of $a_r$ is equal to 1.
Then it is described that the moving averages are often symmetric with $s = q$ and $a_j = a_{-j}$. So the simple moving average for which $a_r = 1/(2q + 1)$ for $r = -q, ldots, +q$ is $textrm{Sm}(x_t)$
But when I tried to confirm that the sum of $a_r$ for simple moving average equal 1 I got this:
Is there something I misunderstood?
average
add a comment |
This is the definition of linear filter from a book I am reading:
A second procedure for dealing with a trend is to use a linear filter, which converts one time series, ${x_t}$, into another, ${y_t}$, by the linear operation
$$y_t = sum_{r = -q}^{+s} a_r x_{t+r}$$
where ${a_r}$ is a set of weights. In order to smooth out local fluctuations and estimate the local mean, we should clearly choose the weights so that $sum a_r = 1$, and then the operation is often referred to as a moving average. Moving averages are discussed in detail by Kendall et al. (1983, Chapter 46), and we will only provide a brief introduction. Moving averages are often symmetric with $s = q$ and $a_j = a_{-j}$. The simplest example of a symmetric smoothing filter is the simple moving average, for which $a_r = 1/(2q + 1)$ for $r = -q, ldots, +q$, and the smoothed value of $x_t$ is given by
$$textrm{Sm}(x_t) = frac{1}{2q + 1}sum_{r=-q}^{+q} x_{t+r}$$
It is said there that ${a_r}$ is a set of weights and in order to call the operation a moving average we should clearly choose the weights so sum of $a_r$ is equal to 1.
Then it is described that the moving averages are often symmetric with $s = q$ and $a_j = a_{-j}$. So the simple moving average for which $a_r = 1/(2q + 1)$ for $r = -q, ldots, +q$ is $textrm{Sm}(x_t)$
But when I tried to confirm that the sum of $a_r$ for simple moving average equal 1 I got this:
Is there something I misunderstood?
average
add a comment |
This is the definition of linear filter from a book I am reading:
A second procedure for dealing with a trend is to use a linear filter, which converts one time series, ${x_t}$, into another, ${y_t}$, by the linear operation
$$y_t = sum_{r = -q}^{+s} a_r x_{t+r}$$
where ${a_r}$ is a set of weights. In order to smooth out local fluctuations and estimate the local mean, we should clearly choose the weights so that $sum a_r = 1$, and then the operation is often referred to as a moving average. Moving averages are discussed in detail by Kendall et al. (1983, Chapter 46), and we will only provide a brief introduction. Moving averages are often symmetric with $s = q$ and $a_j = a_{-j}$. The simplest example of a symmetric smoothing filter is the simple moving average, for which $a_r = 1/(2q + 1)$ for $r = -q, ldots, +q$, and the smoothed value of $x_t$ is given by
$$textrm{Sm}(x_t) = frac{1}{2q + 1}sum_{r=-q}^{+q} x_{t+r}$$
It is said there that ${a_r}$ is a set of weights and in order to call the operation a moving average we should clearly choose the weights so sum of $a_r$ is equal to 1.
Then it is described that the moving averages are often symmetric with $s = q$ and $a_j = a_{-j}$. So the simple moving average for which $a_r = 1/(2q + 1)$ for $r = -q, ldots, +q$ is $textrm{Sm}(x_t)$
But when I tried to confirm that the sum of $a_r$ for simple moving average equal 1 I got this:
Is there something I misunderstood?
average
This is the definition of linear filter from a book I am reading:
A second procedure for dealing with a trend is to use a linear filter, which converts one time series, ${x_t}$, into another, ${y_t}$, by the linear operation
$$y_t = sum_{r = -q}^{+s} a_r x_{t+r}$$
where ${a_r}$ is a set of weights. In order to smooth out local fluctuations and estimate the local mean, we should clearly choose the weights so that $sum a_r = 1$, and then the operation is often referred to as a moving average. Moving averages are discussed in detail by Kendall et al. (1983, Chapter 46), and we will only provide a brief introduction. Moving averages are often symmetric with $s = q$ and $a_j = a_{-j}$. The simplest example of a symmetric smoothing filter is the simple moving average, for which $a_r = 1/(2q + 1)$ for $r = -q, ldots, +q$, and the smoothed value of $x_t$ is given by
$$textrm{Sm}(x_t) = frac{1}{2q + 1}sum_{r=-q}^{+q} x_{t+r}$$
It is said there that ${a_r}$ is a set of weights and in order to call the operation a moving average we should clearly choose the weights so sum of $a_r$ is equal to 1.
Then it is described that the moving averages are often symmetric with $s = q$ and $a_j = a_{-j}$. So the simple moving average for which $a_r = 1/(2q + 1)$ for $r = -q, ldots, +q$ is $textrm{Sm}(x_t)$
But when I tried to confirm that the sum of $a_r$ for simple moving average equal 1 I got this:
Is there something I misunderstood?
average
average
edited Dec 16 '18 at 3:45
Mark H
1,00368
1,00368
asked Dec 15 '18 at 16:41
Kocur4dKocur4d
1184
1184
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2 Answers
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In your code, you have computed [1/(2 * ele + 1) for ele in r]
, which (in your example) is
$$ left[ frac{-1}{9}, frac{-1}{7}, frac{-1}{5}, frac{-1}{3}, -1, 1, frac{1}{3}, frac{1}{5}, frac{1}{7}, frac{1}{9}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$ When you sum those up, you get $frac{1}{11} = 0.overline{09}$, as you observed.
However, the book specifies that you use $frac{1}{2q+1}$, so [1/(2 * q + 1) for ele in r]
, which will give
$$ left[ frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$
Summing those gives $1$, as expected. Also, the simplest moving average should weight all of its inputs equally, which is what happens here.
add a comment |
Note that the book defines $a_r = frac{1}{2q + 1}$ where $a_r$ does NOT depend on $r$, but only on $q$. Since $q$ is fixed, all of the $a_r$ should be the same. In your code, you calculate $a_r = frac{1}{2r + 1}$ instead.
add a comment |
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2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
2 Answers
2
active
oldest
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active
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active
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votes
In your code, you have computed [1/(2 * ele + 1) for ele in r]
, which (in your example) is
$$ left[ frac{-1}{9}, frac{-1}{7}, frac{-1}{5}, frac{-1}{3}, -1, 1, frac{1}{3}, frac{1}{5}, frac{1}{7}, frac{1}{9}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$ When you sum those up, you get $frac{1}{11} = 0.overline{09}$, as you observed.
However, the book specifies that you use $frac{1}{2q+1}$, so [1/(2 * q + 1) for ele in r]
, which will give
$$ left[ frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$
Summing those gives $1$, as expected. Also, the simplest moving average should weight all of its inputs equally, which is what happens here.
add a comment |
In your code, you have computed [1/(2 * ele + 1) for ele in r]
, which (in your example) is
$$ left[ frac{-1}{9}, frac{-1}{7}, frac{-1}{5}, frac{-1}{3}, -1, 1, frac{1}{3}, frac{1}{5}, frac{1}{7}, frac{1}{9}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$ When you sum those up, you get $frac{1}{11} = 0.overline{09}$, as you observed.
However, the book specifies that you use $frac{1}{2q+1}$, so [1/(2 * q + 1) for ele in r]
, which will give
$$ left[ frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$
Summing those gives $1$, as expected. Also, the simplest moving average should weight all of its inputs equally, which is what happens here.
add a comment |
In your code, you have computed [1/(2 * ele + 1) for ele in r]
, which (in your example) is
$$ left[ frac{-1}{9}, frac{-1}{7}, frac{-1}{5}, frac{-1}{3}, -1, 1, frac{1}{3}, frac{1}{5}, frac{1}{7}, frac{1}{9}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$ When you sum those up, you get $frac{1}{11} = 0.overline{09}$, as you observed.
However, the book specifies that you use $frac{1}{2q+1}$, so [1/(2 * q + 1) for ele in r]
, which will give
$$ left[ frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$
Summing those gives $1$, as expected. Also, the simplest moving average should weight all of its inputs equally, which is what happens here.
In your code, you have computed [1/(2 * ele + 1) for ele in r]
, which (in your example) is
$$ left[ frac{-1}{9}, frac{-1}{7}, frac{-1}{5}, frac{-1}{3}, -1, 1, frac{1}{3}, frac{1}{5}, frac{1}{7}, frac{1}{9}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$ When you sum those up, you get $frac{1}{11} = 0.overline{09}$, as you observed.
However, the book specifies that you use $frac{1}{2q+1}$, so [1/(2 * q + 1) for ele in r]
, which will give
$$ left[ frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11}, frac{1}{11} right] text{.} $$
Summing those gives $1$, as expected. Also, the simplest moving average should weight all of its inputs equally, which is what happens here.
answered Dec 15 '18 at 17:02
Eric TowersEric Towers
32.1k22267
32.1k22267
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Note that the book defines $a_r = frac{1}{2q + 1}$ where $a_r$ does NOT depend on $r$, but only on $q$. Since $q$ is fixed, all of the $a_r$ should be the same. In your code, you calculate $a_r = frac{1}{2r + 1}$ instead.
add a comment |
Note that the book defines $a_r = frac{1}{2q + 1}$ where $a_r$ does NOT depend on $r$, but only on $q$. Since $q$ is fixed, all of the $a_r$ should be the same. In your code, you calculate $a_r = frac{1}{2r + 1}$ instead.
add a comment |
Note that the book defines $a_r = frac{1}{2q + 1}$ where $a_r$ does NOT depend on $r$, but only on $q$. Since $q$ is fixed, all of the $a_r$ should be the same. In your code, you calculate $a_r = frac{1}{2r + 1}$ instead.
Note that the book defines $a_r = frac{1}{2q + 1}$ where $a_r$ does NOT depend on $r$, but only on $q$. Since $q$ is fixed, all of the $a_r$ should be the same. In your code, you calculate $a_r = frac{1}{2r + 1}$ instead.
answered Dec 15 '18 at 16:48
AlexAlex
1777
1777
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add a comment |
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