What is $P(x̃ > 72)$ given the following dist?












1












$begingroup$


It can be shown that if $x_1, x_2, dots, x_n$ are $N(mu, sigma^2)$, then $x̃$ is $N(mu, frac{sigma^2}{n})$



Here we define $x̃=frac{x_1+x_2+dots+x_n}{n}$ (the average).



The question is:



If $x_1, x_2, dots, x_{25}$ are $N(65, sigma^2 = 5^2)$, then find $P(x̃ > 72)$.



It is implied that all $x_i$ are iid (independently identically distributed).





How do I calculate this probability?



Would it be as follows:



$x̃$ is $N(65, 5^2/25)=N(65,1)$



Thus, $P(x̃ > 72) = 1 - P(x̃ leq 72) = 1 - phi(frac{72-65}{1})=1-phi(7)approx 0$



where $phi$ is how I calculate the probability using the CDF.



I don't think this is right though. If the mean is about $65$, then I do atleast except some $70+$ grades.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    It looks right to me. The pdf of $tilde x$ is more concentrated around the mean than $x_i$.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 2 '18 at 16:10










  • $begingroup$
    You've made everything completely right, but take care when $sigma^2/nneq 1$, then $$Z=frac{sqrt{n}}{sigma}Big(tilde{x}-muBig)$$ has a $N(0,1)$-distribution. The reason for that is $mathbb{E}(aX+b)=amathbb{E}(X)+b$ and $mathrm{Var}(aX+b)=a^2mathrm{Var}(X)$
    $endgroup$
    – Fakemistake
    Dec 2 '18 at 18:50


















1












$begingroup$


It can be shown that if $x_1, x_2, dots, x_n$ are $N(mu, sigma^2)$, then $x̃$ is $N(mu, frac{sigma^2}{n})$



Here we define $x̃=frac{x_1+x_2+dots+x_n}{n}$ (the average).



The question is:



If $x_1, x_2, dots, x_{25}$ are $N(65, sigma^2 = 5^2)$, then find $P(x̃ > 72)$.



It is implied that all $x_i$ are iid (independently identically distributed).





How do I calculate this probability?



Would it be as follows:



$x̃$ is $N(65, 5^2/25)=N(65,1)$



Thus, $P(x̃ > 72) = 1 - P(x̃ leq 72) = 1 - phi(frac{72-65}{1})=1-phi(7)approx 0$



where $phi$ is how I calculate the probability using the CDF.



I don't think this is right though. If the mean is about $65$, then I do atleast except some $70+$ grades.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    It looks right to me. The pdf of $tilde x$ is more concentrated around the mean than $x_i$.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 2 '18 at 16:10










  • $begingroup$
    You've made everything completely right, but take care when $sigma^2/nneq 1$, then $$Z=frac{sqrt{n}}{sigma}Big(tilde{x}-muBig)$$ has a $N(0,1)$-distribution. The reason for that is $mathbb{E}(aX+b)=amathbb{E}(X)+b$ and $mathrm{Var}(aX+b)=a^2mathrm{Var}(X)$
    $endgroup$
    – Fakemistake
    Dec 2 '18 at 18:50
















1












1








1





$begingroup$


It can be shown that if $x_1, x_2, dots, x_n$ are $N(mu, sigma^2)$, then $x̃$ is $N(mu, frac{sigma^2}{n})$



Here we define $x̃=frac{x_1+x_2+dots+x_n}{n}$ (the average).



The question is:



If $x_1, x_2, dots, x_{25}$ are $N(65, sigma^2 = 5^2)$, then find $P(x̃ > 72)$.



It is implied that all $x_i$ are iid (independently identically distributed).





How do I calculate this probability?



Would it be as follows:



$x̃$ is $N(65, 5^2/25)=N(65,1)$



Thus, $P(x̃ > 72) = 1 - P(x̃ leq 72) = 1 - phi(frac{72-65}{1})=1-phi(7)approx 0$



where $phi$ is how I calculate the probability using the CDF.



I don't think this is right though. If the mean is about $65$, then I do atleast except some $70+$ grades.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$




It can be shown that if $x_1, x_2, dots, x_n$ are $N(mu, sigma^2)$, then $x̃$ is $N(mu, frac{sigma^2}{n})$



Here we define $x̃=frac{x_1+x_2+dots+x_n}{n}$ (the average).



The question is:



If $x_1, x_2, dots, x_{25}$ are $N(65, sigma^2 = 5^2)$, then find $P(x̃ > 72)$.



It is implied that all $x_i$ are iid (independently identically distributed).





How do I calculate this probability?



Would it be as follows:



$x̃$ is $N(65, 5^2/25)=N(65,1)$



Thus, $P(x̃ > 72) = 1 - P(x̃ leq 72) = 1 - phi(frac{72-65}{1})=1-phi(7)approx 0$



where $phi$ is how I calculate the probability using the CDF.



I don't think this is right though. If the mean is about $65$, then I do atleast except some $70+$ grades.







probability statistics probability-distributions normal-distribution






share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question











share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question










asked Dec 2 '18 at 15:53









K Split XK Split X

4,19611131




4,19611131












  • $begingroup$
    It looks right to me. The pdf of $tilde x$ is more concentrated around the mean than $x_i$.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 2 '18 at 16:10










  • $begingroup$
    You've made everything completely right, but take care when $sigma^2/nneq 1$, then $$Z=frac{sqrt{n}}{sigma}Big(tilde{x}-muBig)$$ has a $N(0,1)$-distribution. The reason for that is $mathbb{E}(aX+b)=amathbb{E}(X)+b$ and $mathrm{Var}(aX+b)=a^2mathrm{Var}(X)$
    $endgroup$
    – Fakemistake
    Dec 2 '18 at 18:50




















  • $begingroup$
    It looks right to me. The pdf of $tilde x$ is more concentrated around the mean than $x_i$.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 2 '18 at 16:10










  • $begingroup$
    You've made everything completely right, but take care when $sigma^2/nneq 1$, then $$Z=frac{sqrt{n}}{sigma}Big(tilde{x}-muBig)$$ has a $N(0,1)$-distribution. The reason for that is $mathbb{E}(aX+b)=amathbb{E}(X)+b$ and $mathrm{Var}(aX+b)=a^2mathrm{Var}(X)$
    $endgroup$
    – Fakemistake
    Dec 2 '18 at 18:50


















$begingroup$
It looks right to me. The pdf of $tilde x$ is more concentrated around the mean than $x_i$.
$endgroup$
– callculus
Dec 2 '18 at 16:10




$begingroup$
It looks right to me. The pdf of $tilde x$ is more concentrated around the mean than $x_i$.
$endgroup$
– callculus
Dec 2 '18 at 16:10












$begingroup$
You've made everything completely right, but take care when $sigma^2/nneq 1$, then $$Z=frac{sqrt{n}}{sigma}Big(tilde{x}-muBig)$$ has a $N(0,1)$-distribution. The reason for that is $mathbb{E}(aX+b)=amathbb{E}(X)+b$ and $mathrm{Var}(aX+b)=a^2mathrm{Var}(X)$
$endgroup$
– Fakemistake
Dec 2 '18 at 18:50






$begingroup$
You've made everything completely right, but take care when $sigma^2/nneq 1$, then $$Z=frac{sqrt{n}}{sigma}Big(tilde{x}-muBig)$$ has a $N(0,1)$-distribution. The reason for that is $mathbb{E}(aX+b)=amathbb{E}(X)+b$ and $mathrm{Var}(aX+b)=a^2mathrm{Var}(X)$
$endgroup$
– Fakemistake
Dec 2 '18 at 18:50












1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes


















1












$begingroup$

The random variable $X_i$ is distributed as $X_isim mathcal N(65,25)$. We can see at the graph how the pdf looks like:



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(X_i> 72) gg 0$



What is the variance of $frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_i$, where $X_i$ are iid?



$Varleft( frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac1{n^2}cdot Varleft(sum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left( Var(X_1)+Var(X_2)+ldots + Var(X_n) right)$



$=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left(ncdot Var(X_1) right)=frac{sigma^2}{n}=frac{25}{25}=1$. Therefore $frac1{25}sum_{i=1}^{25} X_i=overline X_{25}sim mathcal{N}(65, 1)$



The graph of the pdf is



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(overline X_{25}> 72)approx 0$.



The pdf of $overline X_{25}$ is more concentrated around the mean than $X_i$. It confirms your result.






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Thank you foir the graph, it helped alot!
    $endgroup$
    – K Split X
    Dec 5 '18 at 21:28










  • $begingroup$
    @KSplitX You´re welcome. I´m glad that it helped.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 7 '18 at 20:33













Your Answer





StackExchange.ifUsing("editor", function () {
return StackExchange.using("mathjaxEditing", function () {
StackExchange.MarkdownEditor.creationCallbacks.add(function (editor, postfix) {
StackExchange.mathjaxEditing.prepareWmdForMathJax(editor, postfix, [["$", "$"], ["\\(","\\)"]]);
});
});
}, "mathjax-editing");

StackExchange.ready(function() {
var channelOptions = {
tags: "".split(" "),
id: "69"
};
initTagRenderer("".split(" "), "".split(" "), channelOptions);

StackExchange.using("externalEditor", function() {
// Have to fire editor after snippets, if snippets enabled
if (StackExchange.settings.snippets.snippetsEnabled) {
StackExchange.using("snippets", function() {
createEditor();
});
}
else {
createEditor();
}
});

function createEditor() {
StackExchange.prepareEditor({
heartbeatType: 'answer',
autoActivateHeartbeat: false,
convertImagesToLinks: true,
noModals: true,
showLowRepImageUploadWarning: true,
reputationToPostImages: 10,
bindNavPrevention: true,
postfix: "",
imageUploader: {
brandingHtml: "Powered by u003ca class="icon-imgur-white" href="https://imgur.com/"u003eu003c/au003e",
contentPolicyHtml: "User contributions licensed under u003ca href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/"u003ecc by-sa 3.0 with attribution requiredu003c/au003e u003ca href="https://stackoverflow.com/legal/content-policy"u003e(content policy)u003c/au003e",
allowUrls: true
},
noCode: true, onDemand: true,
discardSelector: ".discard-answer"
,immediatelyShowMarkdownHelp:true
});


}
});














draft saved

draft discarded


















StackExchange.ready(
function () {
StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3022794%2fwhat-is-px%25cc%2583-72-given-the-following-dist%23new-answer', 'question_page');
}
);

Post as a guest















Required, but never shown

























1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes








1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes









active

oldest

votes






active

oldest

votes









1












$begingroup$

The random variable $X_i$ is distributed as $X_isim mathcal N(65,25)$. We can see at the graph how the pdf looks like:



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(X_i> 72) gg 0$



What is the variance of $frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_i$, where $X_i$ are iid?



$Varleft( frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac1{n^2}cdot Varleft(sum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left( Var(X_1)+Var(X_2)+ldots + Var(X_n) right)$



$=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left(ncdot Var(X_1) right)=frac{sigma^2}{n}=frac{25}{25}=1$. Therefore $frac1{25}sum_{i=1}^{25} X_i=overline X_{25}sim mathcal{N}(65, 1)$



The graph of the pdf is



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(overline X_{25}> 72)approx 0$.



The pdf of $overline X_{25}$ is more concentrated around the mean than $X_i$. It confirms your result.






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Thank you foir the graph, it helped alot!
    $endgroup$
    – K Split X
    Dec 5 '18 at 21:28










  • $begingroup$
    @KSplitX You´re welcome. I´m glad that it helped.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 7 '18 at 20:33


















1












$begingroup$

The random variable $X_i$ is distributed as $X_isim mathcal N(65,25)$. We can see at the graph how the pdf looks like:



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(X_i> 72) gg 0$



What is the variance of $frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_i$, where $X_i$ are iid?



$Varleft( frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac1{n^2}cdot Varleft(sum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left( Var(X_1)+Var(X_2)+ldots + Var(X_n) right)$



$=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left(ncdot Var(X_1) right)=frac{sigma^2}{n}=frac{25}{25}=1$. Therefore $frac1{25}sum_{i=1}^{25} X_i=overline X_{25}sim mathcal{N}(65, 1)$



The graph of the pdf is



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(overline X_{25}> 72)approx 0$.



The pdf of $overline X_{25}$ is more concentrated around the mean than $X_i$. It confirms your result.






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Thank you foir the graph, it helped alot!
    $endgroup$
    – K Split X
    Dec 5 '18 at 21:28










  • $begingroup$
    @KSplitX You´re welcome. I´m glad that it helped.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 7 '18 at 20:33
















1












1








1





$begingroup$

The random variable $X_i$ is distributed as $X_isim mathcal N(65,25)$. We can see at the graph how the pdf looks like:



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(X_i> 72) gg 0$



What is the variance of $frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_i$, where $X_i$ are iid?



$Varleft( frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac1{n^2}cdot Varleft(sum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left( Var(X_1)+Var(X_2)+ldots + Var(X_n) right)$



$=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left(ncdot Var(X_1) right)=frac{sigma^2}{n}=frac{25}{25}=1$. Therefore $frac1{25}sum_{i=1}^{25} X_i=overline X_{25}sim mathcal{N}(65, 1)$



The graph of the pdf is



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(overline X_{25}> 72)approx 0$.



The pdf of $overline X_{25}$ is more concentrated around the mean than $X_i$. It confirms your result.






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$



The random variable $X_i$ is distributed as $X_isim mathcal N(65,25)$. We can see at the graph how the pdf looks like:



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(X_i> 72) gg 0$



What is the variance of $frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_i$, where $X_i$ are iid?



$Varleft( frac1nsum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac1{n^2}cdot Varleft(sum_{i=1}^n X_iright)=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left( Var(X_1)+Var(X_2)+ldots + Var(X_n) right)$



$=frac{1}{n^2}cdot left(ncdot Var(X_1) right)=frac{sigma^2}{n}=frac{25}{25}=1$. Therefore $frac1{25}sum_{i=1}^{25} X_i=overline X_{25}sim mathcal{N}(65, 1)$



The graph of the pdf is



enter image description here



It can be seen that $P(overline X_{25}> 72)approx 0$.



The pdf of $overline X_{25}$ is more concentrated around the mean than $X_i$. It confirms your result.







share|cite|improve this answer












share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer










answered Dec 2 '18 at 17:18









callculuscallculus

17.9k31427




17.9k31427












  • $begingroup$
    Thank you foir the graph, it helped alot!
    $endgroup$
    – K Split X
    Dec 5 '18 at 21:28










  • $begingroup$
    @KSplitX You´re welcome. I´m glad that it helped.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 7 '18 at 20:33




















  • $begingroup$
    Thank you foir the graph, it helped alot!
    $endgroup$
    – K Split X
    Dec 5 '18 at 21:28










  • $begingroup$
    @KSplitX You´re welcome. I´m glad that it helped.
    $endgroup$
    – callculus
    Dec 7 '18 at 20:33


















$begingroup$
Thank you foir the graph, it helped alot!
$endgroup$
– K Split X
Dec 5 '18 at 21:28




$begingroup$
Thank you foir the graph, it helped alot!
$endgroup$
– K Split X
Dec 5 '18 at 21:28












$begingroup$
@KSplitX You´re welcome. I´m glad that it helped.
$endgroup$
– callculus
Dec 7 '18 at 20:33






$begingroup$
@KSplitX You´re welcome. I´m glad that it helped.
$endgroup$
– callculus
Dec 7 '18 at 20:33




















draft saved

draft discarded




















































Thanks for contributing an answer to Mathematics Stack Exchange!


  • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

But avoid



  • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

  • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.


Use MathJax to format equations. MathJax reference.


To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.




draft saved


draft discarded














StackExchange.ready(
function () {
StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3022794%2fwhat-is-px%25cc%2583-72-given-the-following-dist%23new-answer', 'question_page');
}
);

Post as a guest















Required, but never shown





















































Required, but never shown














Required, but never shown












Required, but never shown







Required, but never shown

































Required, but never shown














Required, but never shown












Required, but never shown







Required, but never shown







Popular posts from this blog

Plaza Victoria

In PowerPoint, is there a keyboard shortcut for bulleted / numbered list?

How to put 3 figures in Latex with 2 figures side by side and 1 below these side by side images but in...