Neyman-Pearson lemma for the sample of size one












0












$begingroup$


Let $X$ be a continuous random variable on $[0, 1]$ with a density function
$$f(theta |x ) = frac{x^{theta}}{theta + 1}$$



Let's take a sample that consists on the only one element from the given distribution, say $x_{1}$ and test the following hypothesis:



$$H_{0}: theta = 0 text{vs. } H_{1}: theta = 1$$



Neyman - Pearson lemma gives



$$lambda(x) = frac{L(theta = 0 | x)}{L(theta = 1 | x)} = frac{2}{x}$$



Thus, the rejection regions consists of presicely those $x$ that satsify $frac{2}{x} leq a$.



In order to find $a$, we calculate
$$mathbb{P}(lambda(x) leq a | H_{0}) = mathbb{P}(x geq frac{2}{a} | H_{0}) = int_{frac{2}{a}}^{1} {1_{[0, 1]} dx} = 1 - frac{2}{a}$$



Thus $frac{2}{a} = 1 - alpha$ and we reject the hypothesis if $x leq 1 - alpha$, where $alpha$ is the significance level.



As for me that sounds quite counter-intuitive, since for the large values of $alpha$ we have the critical value concentrated near the end on an interval, which i strongly doubt. Am i missing something crucial here?










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$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Your $f$ is not a pdf in the first place; $f(xmidtheta)=(theta+1)x^{theta}mathbf1_{[0,1]}(x)$ for $theta>-1$ makes more sense.
    $endgroup$
    – StubbornAtom
    Dec 14 '18 at 20:03












  • $begingroup$
    @StubbornAtom Ouh, indeed, thanks. In fact, this is a distribution in case $theta = 0$, but in this case the problem boils down to somewhat very strange and trivial
    $endgroup$
    – hyperkahler
    Dec 14 '18 at 20:10
















0












$begingroup$


Let $X$ be a continuous random variable on $[0, 1]$ with a density function
$$f(theta |x ) = frac{x^{theta}}{theta + 1}$$



Let's take a sample that consists on the only one element from the given distribution, say $x_{1}$ and test the following hypothesis:



$$H_{0}: theta = 0 text{vs. } H_{1}: theta = 1$$



Neyman - Pearson lemma gives



$$lambda(x) = frac{L(theta = 0 | x)}{L(theta = 1 | x)} = frac{2}{x}$$



Thus, the rejection regions consists of presicely those $x$ that satsify $frac{2}{x} leq a$.



In order to find $a$, we calculate
$$mathbb{P}(lambda(x) leq a | H_{0}) = mathbb{P}(x geq frac{2}{a} | H_{0}) = int_{frac{2}{a}}^{1} {1_{[0, 1]} dx} = 1 - frac{2}{a}$$



Thus $frac{2}{a} = 1 - alpha$ and we reject the hypothesis if $x leq 1 - alpha$, where $alpha$ is the significance level.



As for me that sounds quite counter-intuitive, since for the large values of $alpha$ we have the critical value concentrated near the end on an interval, which i strongly doubt. Am i missing something crucial here?










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Your $f$ is not a pdf in the first place; $f(xmidtheta)=(theta+1)x^{theta}mathbf1_{[0,1]}(x)$ for $theta>-1$ makes more sense.
    $endgroup$
    – StubbornAtom
    Dec 14 '18 at 20:03












  • $begingroup$
    @StubbornAtom Ouh, indeed, thanks. In fact, this is a distribution in case $theta = 0$, but in this case the problem boils down to somewhat very strange and trivial
    $endgroup$
    – hyperkahler
    Dec 14 '18 at 20:10














0












0








0





$begingroup$


Let $X$ be a continuous random variable on $[0, 1]$ with a density function
$$f(theta |x ) = frac{x^{theta}}{theta + 1}$$



Let's take a sample that consists on the only one element from the given distribution, say $x_{1}$ and test the following hypothesis:



$$H_{0}: theta = 0 text{vs. } H_{1}: theta = 1$$



Neyman - Pearson lemma gives



$$lambda(x) = frac{L(theta = 0 | x)}{L(theta = 1 | x)} = frac{2}{x}$$



Thus, the rejection regions consists of presicely those $x$ that satsify $frac{2}{x} leq a$.



In order to find $a$, we calculate
$$mathbb{P}(lambda(x) leq a | H_{0}) = mathbb{P}(x geq frac{2}{a} | H_{0}) = int_{frac{2}{a}}^{1} {1_{[0, 1]} dx} = 1 - frac{2}{a}$$



Thus $frac{2}{a} = 1 - alpha$ and we reject the hypothesis if $x leq 1 - alpha$, where $alpha$ is the significance level.



As for me that sounds quite counter-intuitive, since for the large values of $alpha$ we have the critical value concentrated near the end on an interval, which i strongly doubt. Am i missing something crucial here?










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$




Let $X$ be a continuous random variable on $[0, 1]$ with a density function
$$f(theta |x ) = frac{x^{theta}}{theta + 1}$$



Let's take a sample that consists on the only one element from the given distribution, say $x_{1}$ and test the following hypothesis:



$$H_{0}: theta = 0 text{vs. } H_{1}: theta = 1$$



Neyman - Pearson lemma gives



$$lambda(x) = frac{L(theta = 0 | x)}{L(theta = 1 | x)} = frac{2}{x}$$



Thus, the rejection regions consists of presicely those $x$ that satsify $frac{2}{x} leq a$.



In order to find $a$, we calculate
$$mathbb{P}(lambda(x) leq a | H_{0}) = mathbb{P}(x geq frac{2}{a} | H_{0}) = int_{frac{2}{a}}^{1} {1_{[0, 1]} dx} = 1 - frac{2}{a}$$



Thus $frac{2}{a} = 1 - alpha$ and we reject the hypothesis if $x leq 1 - alpha$, where $alpha$ is the significance level.



As for me that sounds quite counter-intuitive, since for the large values of $alpha$ we have the critical value concentrated near the end on an interval, which i strongly doubt. Am i missing something crucial here?







statistics statistical-inference hypothesis-testing






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asked Dec 14 '18 at 15:35









hyperkahlerhyperkahler

1,483714




1,483714












  • $begingroup$
    Your $f$ is not a pdf in the first place; $f(xmidtheta)=(theta+1)x^{theta}mathbf1_{[0,1]}(x)$ for $theta>-1$ makes more sense.
    $endgroup$
    – StubbornAtom
    Dec 14 '18 at 20:03












  • $begingroup$
    @StubbornAtom Ouh, indeed, thanks. In fact, this is a distribution in case $theta = 0$, but in this case the problem boils down to somewhat very strange and trivial
    $endgroup$
    – hyperkahler
    Dec 14 '18 at 20:10


















  • $begingroup$
    Your $f$ is not a pdf in the first place; $f(xmidtheta)=(theta+1)x^{theta}mathbf1_{[0,1]}(x)$ for $theta>-1$ makes more sense.
    $endgroup$
    – StubbornAtom
    Dec 14 '18 at 20:03












  • $begingroup$
    @StubbornAtom Ouh, indeed, thanks. In fact, this is a distribution in case $theta = 0$, but in this case the problem boils down to somewhat very strange and trivial
    $endgroup$
    – hyperkahler
    Dec 14 '18 at 20:10
















$begingroup$
Your $f$ is not a pdf in the first place; $f(xmidtheta)=(theta+1)x^{theta}mathbf1_{[0,1]}(x)$ for $theta>-1$ makes more sense.
$endgroup$
– StubbornAtom
Dec 14 '18 at 20:03






$begingroup$
Your $f$ is not a pdf in the first place; $f(xmidtheta)=(theta+1)x^{theta}mathbf1_{[0,1]}(x)$ for $theta>-1$ makes more sense.
$endgroup$
– StubbornAtom
Dec 14 '18 at 20:03














$begingroup$
@StubbornAtom Ouh, indeed, thanks. In fact, this is a distribution in case $theta = 0$, but in this case the problem boils down to somewhat very strange and trivial
$endgroup$
– hyperkahler
Dec 14 '18 at 20:10




$begingroup$
@StubbornAtom Ouh, indeed, thanks. In fact, this is a distribution in case $theta = 0$, but in this case the problem boils down to somewhat very strange and trivial
$endgroup$
– hyperkahler
Dec 14 '18 at 20:10










1 Answer
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$begingroup$

It seems there is nothing wrong with that. For example, let $alpha = 0.99$. It means that we allow large probability of type 1 error (almost don't care about it) and we may end up with large critical region. Actually, corresponding critical region is
$$
xgeq 1-alpha = 0.01,
$$
and almost any value of $x$ leads to rejection of $H_0$ as expected. As a result, we get a very powerful test at the expense of significance level.






share|cite|improve this answer











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    1 Answer
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    1 Answer
    1






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    $begingroup$

    It seems there is nothing wrong with that. For example, let $alpha = 0.99$. It means that we allow large probability of type 1 error (almost don't care about it) and we may end up with large critical region. Actually, corresponding critical region is
    $$
    xgeq 1-alpha = 0.01,
    $$
    and almost any value of $x$ leads to rejection of $H_0$ as expected. As a result, we get a very powerful test at the expense of significance level.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$


















      1












      $begingroup$

      It seems there is nothing wrong with that. For example, let $alpha = 0.99$. It means that we allow large probability of type 1 error (almost don't care about it) and we may end up with large critical region. Actually, corresponding critical region is
      $$
      xgeq 1-alpha = 0.01,
      $$
      and almost any value of $x$ leads to rejection of $H_0$ as expected. As a result, we get a very powerful test at the expense of significance level.






      share|cite|improve this answer











      $endgroup$
















        1












        1








        1





        $begingroup$

        It seems there is nothing wrong with that. For example, let $alpha = 0.99$. It means that we allow large probability of type 1 error (almost don't care about it) and we may end up with large critical region. Actually, corresponding critical region is
        $$
        xgeq 1-alpha = 0.01,
        $$
        and almost any value of $x$ leads to rejection of $H_0$ as expected. As a result, we get a very powerful test at the expense of significance level.






        share|cite|improve this answer











        $endgroup$



        It seems there is nothing wrong with that. For example, let $alpha = 0.99$. It means that we allow large probability of type 1 error (almost don't care about it) and we may end up with large critical region. Actually, corresponding critical region is
        $$
        xgeq 1-alpha = 0.01,
        $$
        and almost any value of $x$ leads to rejection of $H_0$ as expected. As a result, we get a very powerful test at the expense of significance level.







        share|cite|improve this answer














        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer








        edited Dec 14 '18 at 15:52

























        answered Dec 14 '18 at 15:47









        SongSong

        16.7k1941




        16.7k1941






























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